NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC UTA
Points 123.1 115.2
Total Points   238.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.4 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.9 38.6
Points From Free Throws 18.8 19.2
Shooting LAC UTA
Field Goals Made 44.8 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 89.0
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 18.8 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 23.0
Free Throw % 83.0% 83.7%
Ball Control LAC UTA
Rebounds 46.2 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 14.3
Turnovers 10.8 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.1
Steals 7.6 5.7
Fouls 16.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC UTA
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 102.5
% of Possessions with LAC UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.6%
Turnover 10.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC UTA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 29.3%