NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC OKC
Points 110.9 116.8
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.1 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 39.0
Points From Free Throws 19.4 17.5
Shooting LAC OKC
Field Goals Made 39.2 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 88.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.1 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 21.4
Free Throw % 83.0% 81.8%
Ball Control LAC OKC
Rebounds 49.1 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.6
Turnovers 13.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.4
Steals 6.6 7.5
Fouls 17.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC OKC
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 100.5
% of Possessions with LAC OKC
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 30.2%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.3%
Turnover 13.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC OKC
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 22.6%