NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL PHI
Points 115.3 121.2
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 40.8
Points From Free Throws 20.3 20.1
Shooting ATL PHI
Field Goals Made 41.1 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 89.1
Field Goal % 45.9% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 20.3 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 24.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 82.1%
Ball Control ATL PHI
Rebounds 49.9 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 12.1
Turnovers 12.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.4 6.6
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 16.7 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL PHI
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 103.1
% of Possessions with ATL PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 16.3%
Turnover 12.2% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL PHI
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.5%