NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL MIL
Points 117.0 125.1
Total Points   242.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 46.3
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.7
Shooting ATL MIL
Field Goals Made 42.5 45.5
Field Goals Attempted 92.9 88.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 15.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 23.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.0%
Ball Control ATL MIL
Rebounds 48.3 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 9.9
Turnovers 10.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.9
Steals 6.2 6.2
Fouls 17.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL MIL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 106.3 102.0
% of Possessions with ATL MIL
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 33.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.7%
Turnover 10.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL MIL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 21.9%