NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CLE
Points 113.8 119.9
Total Points   233.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 43.8
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.0
Shooting ATL CLE
Field Goals Made 41.3 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 87.3
Field Goal % 46.2% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 37.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 75.9%
Ball Control ATL CLE
Rebounds 48.0 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.2
Turnovers 12.1 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.9
Steals 6.7 6.8
Fouls 17.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CLE
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 99.6
% of Possessions with ATL CLE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 33.1%
Player Fouled 15.9% 16.9%
Turnover 11.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CLE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 22.6%