NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL NY
Points 115.4 121.7
Total Points   237.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 44.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 17.7
Shooting ATL NY
Field Goals Made 42.1 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 89.4
Field Goal % 47.2% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 22.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.4%
Ball Control ATL NY
Rebounds 46.8 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 14.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.9
Steals 5.8 6.9
Fouls 17.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL NY
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 103.1
% of Possessions with ATL NY
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.9%
Turnover 11.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL NY
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 29.8%