NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL MIN
Points 109.0 120.7
Total Points   229.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.3 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 41.8
Points From Free Throws 19.3 18.7
Shooting ATL MIN
Field Goals Made 38.6 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 84.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.1 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 19.3 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.8%
Ball Control ATL MIN
Rebounds 46.0 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.5
Turnovers 12.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.2
Steals 6.8 7.2
Fouls 18.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL MIN
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 99.0
% of Possessions with ATL MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.6% 18.2%
Turnover 12.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL MIN
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 24.1%