NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA MIL
Points 107.4 119.0
Total Points   226.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.2 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 44.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.0
Shooting CHA MIL
Field Goals Made 40.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 86.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 47.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 21.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.0%
Ball Control CHA MIL
Rebounds 44.4 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 40.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.3
Turnovers 11.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.1
Steals 5.9 5.9
Fouls 16.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA MIL
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 99.3
% of Possessions with CHA MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 34.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.2%
Turnover 10.9% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA MIL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 22.7%