NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA CLE
Points 104.0 114.0
Total Points   218.0
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 42.3
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.5
Shooting CHA CLE
Field Goals Made 38.9 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.8 85.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.9%
Ball Control CHA CLE
Rebounds 44.0 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.6
Turnovers 12.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.1
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 16.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA CLE
Total Possessions 98.5
Effective Scoring Chances 95.3 96.8
% of Possessions with CHA CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 34.3%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA CLE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 23.4%