NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BOS
Points 99.1 120.1
Total Points   219.2
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 53.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 51.7
Points From Free Throws 11.3 14.9
Shooting CHA BOS
Field Goals Made 37.9 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 88.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 17.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 44.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 18.6
Free Throw % 78.9% 80.1%
Ball Control CHA BOS
Rebounds 44.2 54.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 42.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.9
Turnovers 11.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.7
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 14.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BOS
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 99.3
% of Possessions with CHA BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 39.6%
Player Fouled 13.7% 15.0%
Turnover 11.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 25.9%