NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA NY
Points 105.5 116.2
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 43.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.2
Shooting CHA NY
Field Goals Made 39.6 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 87.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.4%
Ball Control CHA NY
Rebounds 42.5 51.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.6
Turnovers 12.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 15.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA NY
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 94.9 100.6
% of Possessions with CHA NY
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 32.6%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.3%
Turnover 12.7% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA NY
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 30.8%