NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA POR
Points 110.5 110.3
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.2 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 36.3
Points From Free Throws 16.3 15.5
Shooting CHA POR
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 88.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 19.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.4%
Ball Control CHA POR
Rebounds 44.4 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 14.4
Turnovers 13.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.9
Steals 7.4 6.5
Fouls 14.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA POR
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 96.6 100.6
% of Possessions with CHA POR
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 17.1% 14.9%
Turnover 13.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA POR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 29.3%