NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA GS
Points 108.0 120.2
Total Points   228.2
Points From 2-Pointers 53.5 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 46.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.6
Shooting CHA GS
Field Goals Made 40.0 45.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 89.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 15.6
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 39.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 18.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.7%
Ball Control CHA GS
Rebounds 43.6 53.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.3
Turnovers 12.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 6.5 6.0
Fouls 14.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA GS
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 101.3
% of Possessions with CHA GS
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 34.3%
Player Fouled 15.9% 14.7%
Turnover 11.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA GS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 28.5%