NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA ATL
Points 124.5 125.6
Total Points   250.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 59.4
Points From 3-Pointers 42.2 47.7
Points From Free Throws 19.7 18.5
Shooting UTA ATL
Field Goals Made 45.3 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 94.3
Field Goal % 50.8% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 15.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 39.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 19.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.6
Free Throw % 83.7% 78.3%
Ball Control UTA ATL
Rebounds 49.8 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 14.0
Turnovers 14.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.7
Steals 5.9 7.6
Fouls 16.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA ATL
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 107.8
% of Possessions with UTA ATL
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.0%
Turnover 13.6% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA ATL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 27.5%