NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA GS
Points 117.1 126.5
Total Points   243.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 59.8
Points From 3-Pointers 41.1 51.1
Points From Free Throws 19.3 15.7
Shooting UTA GS
Field Goals Made 42.0 46.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 94.2
Field Goal % 46.2% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 17.0
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 41.5%
Free Throws Made 19.3 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.2
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.7%
Ball Control UTA GS
Rebounds 49.4 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 13.9
Turnovers 13.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 6.1
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 15.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA GS
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 105.9
% of Possessions with UTA GS
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 34.3%
Player Fouled 16.5% 14.8%
Turnover 12.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA GS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 28.2%