NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC DEN
Points 111.5 113.5
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 35.2
Points From Free Throws 16.1 16.7
Shooting SAC DEN
Field Goals Made 41.6 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 86.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 16.1 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.5
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.9%
Ball Control SAC DEN
Rebounds 48.4 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.2
Turnovers 10.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 6.6 6.0
Fouls 17.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC DEN
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 98.6
% of Possessions with SAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.2%
Player Fouled 15.9% 17.7%
Turnover 10.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC DEN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 22.2%