NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC PHO
Points 114.4 114.8
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 43.6 37.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 20.4
Shooting SAC PHO
Field Goals Made 42.2 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 82.6
Field Goal % 45.7% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 15.5 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 25.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 80.9%
Ball Control SAC PHO
Rebounds 48.0 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 9.6
Turnovers 10.9 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 8.0 6.5
Fouls 19.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC PHO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 97.6
% of Possessions with SAC PHO
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 27.5%
Player Fouled 15.7% 18.7%
Turnover 10.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC PHO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 21.8%