NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY MIL
Points 113.3 114.8
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 42.3
Points From Free Throws 17.1 17.3
Shooting NY MIL
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 85.4
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 17.1 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.2
Free Throw % 77.4% 78.0%
Ball Control NY MIL
Rebounds 49.8 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.3
Turnovers 9.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 6.2 5.3
Fouls 16.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY MIL
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 98.4
% of Possessions with NY MIL
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 33.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.7%
Turnover 10.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY MIL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 22.4%