NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY CLE
Points 110.1 109.8
Total Points   220.0
Points From 2-Pointers 53.9 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 39.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.8
Shooting NY CLE
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 84.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 19.5
Free Throw % 77.4% 75.9%
Ball Control NY CLE
Rebounds 49.5 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 10.6
Turnovers 11.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.5
Steals 6.7 5.7
Fouls 16.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY CLE
Total Possessions 97.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 96.0
% of Possessions with NY CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 32.8%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.8%
Turnover 11.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY CLE
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 23.1%