NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY BOS
Points 105.1 115.8
Total Points   220.9
Points From 2-Pointers 52.5 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 48.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.1
Shooting NY BOS
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 86.9
Field Goal % 42.6% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 16.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 41.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.9
Free Throw % 77.4% 80.1%
Ball Control NY BOS
Rebounds 50.0 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 38.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 11.8
Turnovers 10.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 6.2
Steals 5.3 5.4
Fouls 15.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY BOS
Total Possessions 96.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 98.3
% of Possessions with NY BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 37.8%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.5%
Turnover 10.6% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY BOS
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 25.5%