NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DAL
Points 109.9 113.5
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 40.5
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.4
Shooting NY DAL
Field Goals Made 39.7 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 84.9
Field Goal % 44.6% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 74.4%
Ball Control NY DAL
Rebounds 50.0 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.0 11.1
Turnovers 11.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.2
Steals 6.5 5.3
Fouls 17.7 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DAL
Total Possessions 98.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 98.0
% of Possessions with NY DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 32.6%
Player Fouled 17.1% 18.0%
Turnover 11.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DAL
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 24.1%