NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DET
Points 117.9 108.4
Total Points   226.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.9 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 34.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.5
Shooting NY DET
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 85.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 21.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 78.3%
Ball Control NY DET
Rebounds 49.3 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.5
Turnovers 10.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.5
Steals 7.9 5.3
Fouls 15.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DET
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 98.1
% of Possessions with NY DET
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.2%
Turnover 10.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DET
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 24.2%