NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL LAC
Points 115.3 115.8
Total Points   231.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 59.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 40.8
Points From Free Throws 18.3 15.7
Shooting LAL LAC
Field Goals Made 42.6 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 90.6
Field Goal % 49.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 18.3 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 18.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 83.0%
Ball Control LAL LAC
Rebounds 46.4 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.6
Turnovers 11.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.3
Steals 6.4 7.3
Fouls 14.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL LAC
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 101.5
% of Possessions with LAL LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.8%
Turnover 11.6% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL LAC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 24.0%