NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL GS
Points 117.3 118.9
Total Points   236.2
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 47.3
Points From Free Throws 18.4 13.1
Shooting LAL GS
Field Goals Made 43.2 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 95.2
Field Goal % 49.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 18.4 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 16.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.7%
Ball Control LAL GS
Rebounds 47.2 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 13.8
Turnovers 11.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 13.0 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL GS
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 105.2
% of Possessions with LAL GS
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 34.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 12.5%
Turnover 11.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL GS
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 26.6%