NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CLE
Points 105.7 104.9
Total Points   210.6
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 34.3
Points From Free Throws 18.3 16.2
Shooting ORL CLE
Field Goals Made 38.3 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 81.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.5 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 21.3
Free Throw % 76.1% 75.9%
Ball Control ORL CLE
Rebounds 48.2 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.2
Turnovers 13.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.2
Steals 7.6 7.3
Fouls 18.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CLE
Total Possessions 98.6
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 94.2
% of Possessions with ORL CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.6%
Turnover 13.5% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CLE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 20.1%