NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL ATL
Points 116.7 109.9
Total Points   226.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 35.3
Points From Free Throws 19.5 19.1
Shooting ORL ATL
Field Goals Made 42.6 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 85.9
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 19.5 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 24.4
Free Throw % 76.1% 78.3%
Ball Control ORL ATL
Rebounds 48.8 45.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.6
Turnovers 13.7 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.1
Steals 7.7 7.4
Fouls 18.5 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL ATL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.1
% of Possessions with ORL ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.1%
Turnover 13.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL ATL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 23.8%