NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL NY
Points 107.2 106.2
Total Points   213.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 34.6
Points From Free Throws 18.0 18.0
Shooting ORL NY
Field Goals Made 39.0 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 83.6
Field Goal % 47.4% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 18.0 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 23.2
Free Throw % 76.1% 77.4%
Ball Control ORL NY
Rebounds 47.2 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.6
Turnovers 13.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.2
Steals 6.5 7.4
Fouls 18.1 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL NY
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 96.6 97.3
% of Possessions with ORL NY
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.6%
Turnover 13.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL NY
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 26.4%