NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL BK
Points 108.6 103.2
Total Points   211.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 34.0
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.1
Shooting ORL BK
Field Goals Made 39.4 37.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 83.7
Field Goal % 46.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 22.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 76.0%
Ball Control ORL BK
Rebounds 50.0 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.9
Turnovers 12.6 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 17.8 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL BK
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 96.9
% of Possessions with ORL BK
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.9%
Turnover 12.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL BK
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.4%