NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL CLE
Points 111.9 107.8
Total Points   219.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 39.1
Points From Free Throws 16.7 15.5
Shooting DAL CLE
Field Goals Made 41.0 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 86.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.5
Free Throw % 74.4% 75.9%
Ball Control DAL CLE
Rebounds 49.1 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.9
Turnovers 11.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.7
Steals 6.1 6.4
Fouls 16.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL CLE
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 98.3
% of Possessions with DAL CLE
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 32.6%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.1%
Turnover 11.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 22.1%