NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL BOS
Points 107.0 113.9
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 50.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 47.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 15.9
Shooting DAL BOS
Field Goals Made 40.3 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 88.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 37.6 42.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.8
Free Throw % 74.4% 80.1%
Ball Control DAL BOS
Rebounds 49.2 52.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.1
Turnovers 10.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.0
Steals 4.8 6.0
Fouls 15.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL BOS
Total Possessions 98.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.6
% of Possessions with DAL BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 37.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 15.7%
Turnover 10.4% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL BOS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 24.4%