NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MEM
Points 116.3 103.3
Total Points   219.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.5 38.7
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.7
Shooting DAL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.2 36.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 88.3
Field Goal % 49.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.0 50.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 21.9
Free Throw % 74.4% 76.6%
Ball Control DAL MEM
Rebounds 51.8 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.1
Turnovers 12.8 13.2
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.0
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 16.8 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MEM
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 100.7
% of Possessions with DAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 32.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 16.6%
Turnover 12.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.5%