NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL IND
Points 118.4 116.9
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.6 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 36.9
Points From Free Throws 20.4 15.9
Shooting DAL IND
Field Goals Made 43.4 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 90.7
Field Goal % 50.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 20.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 20.5
Free Throw % 74.4% 77.5%
Ball Control DAL IND
Rebounds 48.4 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.7
Turnovers 11.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 16.6 20.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL IND
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 102.4
% of Possessions with DAL IND
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 16.4%
Turnover 11.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL IND
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.1%