NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL OKC
Points 111.5 114.3
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 42.1 38.2
Points From Free Throws 17.9 17.5
Shooting DAL OKC
Field Goals Made 39.7 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 88.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 21.4
Free Throw % 74.4% 81.8%
Ball Control DAL OKC
Rebounds 50.6 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.2
Turnovers 13.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 5.4
Steals 5.9 7.3
Fouls 17.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL OKC
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 100.6
% of Possessions with DAL OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.1%
Turnover 12.9% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL OKC
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 21.2%