NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL POR
Points 118.5 104.2
Total Points   222.7
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 33.6
Points From Free Throws 19.3 16.5
Shooting DAL POR
Field Goals Made 43.5 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 90.2
Field Goal % 51.6% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 57.3
2 Point Shooting % 63.1% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 19.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 20.8
Free Throw % 74.4% 79.4%
Ball Control DAL POR
Rebounds 49.7 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 33.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 14.8
Turnovers 11.8 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.5
Steals 7.1 6.5
Fouls 15.7 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL POR
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 102.3
% of Possessions with DAL POR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 15.6%
Turnover 11.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL POR
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.7%