NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK MEM
Points 110.9 106.4
Total Points   217.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.4 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 39.9
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.5
Shooting BK MEM
Field Goals Made 40.1 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 88.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 25.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.6%
Ball Control BK MEM
Rebounds 52.2 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 12.8
Turnovers 13.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.4 6.0
Steals 6.8 7.0
Fouls 16.7 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK MEM
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 100.5
% of Possessions with BK MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 32.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.6%
Turnover 13.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK MEM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 24.6%