NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK ORL
Points 103.2 108.6
Total Points   211.8
Points From 2-Pointers 52.1 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 33.5
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.7
Shooting BK ORL
Field Goals Made 37.4 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 83.7 84.3
Field Goal % 44.7% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.1 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.1%
Ball Control BK ORL
Rebounds 46.8 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.0
Turnovers 13.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.0
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 18.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK ORL
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 98.8
% of Possessions with BK ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 18.8%
Turnover 13.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK ORL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.1%