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Denver at Sacramento
Sat Dec 2, 2023
10:00pm ET
Sacramento, CA
Denver at Sacramento: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Sacramento by 3.5, Total Points: 234.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-49-2 | 43-40-1 | |
| vs Division | 9-14-0 | 12-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-36-1 | 27-26-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 23-24-1 | 19-23-0 | |
| Away | 20-25-1 | 24-17-1 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 04/25 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 04/27 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.5 | L by 11 | -14.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 05/04 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 05/06 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 05/10 | Away | Minnesota | +3.5 | W by 27 | +30.5 |
| 05/12 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 05/14 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 05/16 | Away | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 45 | -43.0 |
| 05/19 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Portland | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Cleveland | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 36 | -38.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 13 | +17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Golden State | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Washington | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Boston | -4.0 | L by 25 | -29.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Phoenix | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Portland | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 31 | +32.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.0 | L by 7 | -22.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 33 | -37.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Indiana | -8.5 | L by 5 | -13.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Dallas | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Miami | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chicago | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 26 | -21.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | L by 13 | -26.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | W by 29 | +26.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 11 | -18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Minnesota | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | San Antonio | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -1.5 | W by 35 | +33.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 34 | +23.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | L by 7 | -18.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Orlando | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 36 | -37.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | New York | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.5 | W by 30 | +19.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New Orleans | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Portland | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 04/19 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| SAC -3.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1036 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Sacramento won the game 612 times (59.1%).
- The team like Denver won the game 424 times (40.9%).
- The team like Sacramento did better against the spread, going 515-509-12 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 1181 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Sacramento did better against the spread, going 583-577-21 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/02 09:27 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/02 08:37 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/02 03:47 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/02 03:37 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/02 02:47 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/02 02:37 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/02 12:27 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/02 11:32 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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