NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN SAC
Points 113.5 111.5
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.6 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 36.8
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.1
Shooting DEN SAC
Field Goals Made 42.5 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 89.9
Field Goal % 49.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 54.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 74.6%
Ball Control DEN SAC
Rebounds 48.6 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.6
Turnovers 11.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 6.0 6.6
Fouls 15.9 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN SAC
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 102.4
% of Possessions with DEN SAC
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.9%
Turnover 11.7% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN SAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 24.8%