NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CLE
Points 117.3 114.5
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 65.1 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 33.0
Points From Free Throws 15.3 18.4
Shooting IND CLE
Field Goals Made 44.9 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 86.3
Field Goal % 50.5% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.3 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 24.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 75.9%
Ball Control IND CLE
Rebounds 46.4 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 11.1
Turnovers 11.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.3
Steals 6.6 6.0
Fouls 19.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CLE
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 100.1
% of Possessions with IND CLE
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 26.9%
Player Fouled 15.7% 19.1%
Turnover 11.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CLE
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.8%