NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CHA
Points 123.9 110.1
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 69.1 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 31.0
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.3
Shooting IND CHA
Field Goals Made 47.9 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 86.5
Field Goal % 53.5% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 34.6 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 63.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 29.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 21.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 78.9%
Ball Control IND CHA
Rebounds 48.3 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.2
Turnovers 11.7 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.1
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 18.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CHA
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 99.0
% of Possessions with IND CHA
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.8%
Turnover 11.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CHA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 21.5%