NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAL
Points 122.2 119.8
Total Points   242.1
Points From 2-Pointers 68.4 69.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 29.1
Points From Free Throws 13.3 21.7
Shooting IND LAL
Field Goals Made 47.7 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 94.9 85.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 34.2 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 59.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.3 21.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 27.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.5%
Ball Control IND LAL
Rebounds 46.5 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.3
Turnovers 11.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.7
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 20.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 101.0
% of Possessions with IND LAL
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 22.6%
Player Fouled 13.3% 19.3%
Turnover 10.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 21.0%