NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND DAL
Points 116.9 118.4
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.1 64.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 33.4
Points From Free Throws 15.9 20.4
Shooting IND DAL
Field Goals Made 44.3 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 86.2
Field Goal % 48.9% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 15.9 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 27.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 74.4%
Ball Control IND DAL
Rebounds 46.5 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.6
Turnovers 11.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.0
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 20.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND DAL
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 102.1
% of Possessions with IND DAL
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 26.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 20.4%
Turnover 10.9% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND DAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.0%