NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MEM
Points 114.0 103.4
Total Points   217.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.4 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 41.5
Points From Free Throws 17.8 16.0
Shooting NO MEM
Field Goals Made 41.8 36.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 85.9
Field Goal % 48.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 17.8 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 20.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 76.6%
Ball Control NO MEM
Rebounds 51.0 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.9
Turnovers 13.5 14.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.0
Steals 8.3 6.9
Fouls 16.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MEM
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 98.0
% of Possessions with NO MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 35.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.7%
Turnover 13.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MEM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.2%