NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO SAC
Points 112.3 112.7
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 52.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 45.1
Points From Free Throws 18.6 15.1
Shooting NO SAC
Field Goals Made 40.8 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 88.1
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 42.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.2
Free Throw % 77.9% 74.6%
Ball Control NO SAC
Rebounds 47.8 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.5
Turnovers 12.5 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 7.4 6.5
Fouls 16.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO SAC
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 100.2
% of Possessions with NO SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 36.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.3%
Turnover 12.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO SAC
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 23.3%