NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO LAL
Points 114.1 113.7
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.8 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 37.3
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.5
Shooting NO LAL
Field Goals Made 43.3 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 83.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 22.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.5%
Ball Control NO LAL
Rebounds 48.1 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.2
Turnovers 11.6 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.8
Steals 8.2 5.8
Fouls 17.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO LAL
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 96.9
% of Possessions with NO LAL
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 13.3% 17.2%
Turnover 11.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO LAL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 18.4%