NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO IND
Points 116.1 117.8
Total Points   233.9
Points From 2-Pointers 65.8 62.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 39.8
Points From Free Throws 20.5 15.2
Shooting NO IND
Field Goals Made 42.8 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 88.5
Field Goal % 49.5% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.9 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 20.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 19.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.5%
Ball Control NO IND
Rebounds 47.5 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.5
Turnovers 11.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.7
Steals 6.8 5.9
Fouls 16.6 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO IND
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 99.9
% of Possessions with NO IND
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 32.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 16.4%
Turnover 11.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO IND
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 22.8%