NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET ORL
Points 103.4 114.0
Total Points   217.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 31.0
Points From Free Throws 18.1 21.1
Shooting DET ORL
Field Goals Made 37.8 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 82.7 83.2
Field Goal % 45.7% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 29.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 18.1 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 27.8
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.1%
Ball Control DET ORL
Rebounds 44.5 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.8
Turnovers 15.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.9
Steals 6.8 8.9
Fouls 20.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET ORL
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 95.9 99.6
% of Possessions with DET ORL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 25.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 20.1%
Turnover 15.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET ORL
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 23.8%