NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET DAL
Points 106.5 120.3
Total Points   226.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 37.9
Points From Free Throws 17.4 19.3
Shooting DET DAL
Field Goals Made 39.0 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 85.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 51.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 25.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 74.4%
Ball Control DET DAL
Rebounds 47.1 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 6.1
Steals 5.9 7.2
Fouls 19.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET DAL
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 101.0
% of Possessions with DET DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 30.0%
Player Fouled 15.4% 19.5%
Turnover 12.8% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET DAL
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.0%