NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR PHI
Points 110.3 120.2
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 39.8
Points From Free Throws 18.6 18.6
Shooting TOR PHI
Field Goals Made 40.5 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 91.1
Field Goal % 46.1% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 18.6 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 22.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 82.1%
Ball Control TOR PHI
Rebounds 47.9 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.6
Turnovers 13.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 7.4
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 16.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR PHI
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 104.1
% of Possessions with TOR PHI
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.1%
Turnover 12.9% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR PHI
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.0%