NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR BK
Points 111.7 117.2
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 42.2
Points From Free Throws 16.6 15.6
Shooting TOR BK
Field Goals Made 41.8 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 91.1
Field Goal % 46.6% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 20.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.0%
Ball Control TOR BK
Rebounds 47.8 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.8
Turnovers 12.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.1
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 16.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR BK
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 103.5
% of Possessions with TOR BK
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 32.5%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.1%
Turnover 11.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR BK
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 27.8%